The worst scenario could be way worse then that. Roughly twice as fast as a GTX285 is probably the REALISTIC scenario.
IMO, it sounds like this will be a repeat of the last round. NV will have the fastest single chip and ATI will have a somewhat slower, but price/performance competitive offering. I don't know about the dual cards. Obviously ATI will have an x2. I imagine NV will want to release a dual GPU card to counter. But how do you cool 6B full speed transistors in 2 slots of space? They'll have to cut down and/or reduce the speed of the chips or wait for a shrink. The fastest single card halo could go either way, imo.
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