Agreed your method is the accurate one, but I don't necessarily agree on the sawtooth.
I was thinking the opposite issue, if there's a flaw with "LTT performance = throttle slope" it's that LTT performance might be better than the throttle/lifetime slope and that you would need more than 24 hours of idle recovery to full-speed write the equivalent of 24hrs of LTT writes.
We saw with the Vertex 2 40GB it was writing at ~6.25MiB/sec with LTT, which works out to ~11 P/E cycles a day (with just a WA of 1.00x, which we deduced is too optimistic for 100% incompressible data). A three year warranty at that rate would work out to ~12,000 P/E cycles, which is what I was getting at when I said "LTT functioning isn't quite faithful to its intention"....it's intention to drag the life of the drive out to the end of the warranty period, but 12,000 P/E cycles is 2.4x what the NAND is rated at and seems optimistic for a warranty.
We'll know more as more testing gets done, but that's my theory on why LTT performance would not equal the throttle/lifetime slope....and if it does, then observing LTT performance is a nice and quick way to figure out the daily write budget![]()
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