I am casting my doubts for two reasons, and if you would care to address those reasons that would be good, and if you don't want to, that's okay too.
1. In all previous shrink + Cache increases by either side in the last 12 to 15 years at least, we haven't even come close to seeing a 15 to 20% IPC increase, what is going to make Deneb so different?
2. AMD have little to no credibility in respect of projected CPU performances for at least 18 months now.
I think Penryn across the board was about 5 to 8%.
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