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nvidia is ofcourse going to release the cards priced a little higher than whats recommended, simply to sell them to the fans who will be willing to pay top dollar. then after a few weeks they will come down once demand has leveled off. AMD has no reason to lower prices because they trying to get out a few more expensive cards at the same time to compete (5870 Six), so they will do the same thing, keep it higher at first.
by June 1st i would expect both companies to come down by 10-20%, but as long as stronger cards are launching, they wont.
god it seems the best time to buy stuff was last summer, since then everything except CPUs have just had horrible pricing trends
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