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I don't see it being 2x G200 either. They keep saying new architecture, but from what I've seen, it's built heavily on G200, just like G200 was built heavily on G80. G200 was nearly 2x the units of G80, but it didn't hit 2x the performance until far after release when newer games were optimized/able to take advantage of what G200 had extra.
However, I think without any hard data on clocks, it's impossible to claim where it will end up. I'm hopeful it's good, but when I hear them admit that it's been delayed, that's usually not a positive sign
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