AMD DX11 RV8xx Card Exposed

[BigDisk]

I don't agree with that beeing the normal progression rate in the videocard arena. Given that manufacturers come with more or less one generation a year, it would be much higher than usual tech progression (doubling each two years). Indeed, I think that only the great surprise/success/hit chips have managed to double over their previous generation (R700, G80...). I'd say that a much more realistic and paired to other technologies and Moore's Law formula would be:

next gen = 1.5*previous gen

Given that a new generation is coming every year (your formula could be good if there were a 2 years gap between generations).

Said that, it seems that this generation both ATI and NVIDIA are going to double the performance of their chips... as it seems that performance/watt it's not doubled (or close to that), I'm a little scared about the power consumption of the bigger chips of both ATI and NVIDIA this round.

Except that 1.5* previous gen would surpass Moore's law of doubling the performance every 24 months (it would result in 2.25x the inital performance every 24 months).

If we assume the new generations of card are coming out every year, and that they respect Moore's law of transistor density (and that transistor count equals performance), then the performance would be

nextgen = sqrt(2) * previous gen
or roughly nextgen = 1.41 * previous gen

Just sayin' ...... (sorry about being anal)