I generally agree on your "lots of little things make a difference" theory. As soon as someone sends me better barbs, I'll use 'em! :-)
I attribute the non-effect of the fan speeds simply to error in measurement. The device I use for logging the temperatures has a resolution of only 0.5 degrees, so the difference might simply be smaller than that. Apart from that, even with long test runs, there's always a margin of error. So I would say in reality, the results are very close but not, as it seems from the data, identical.
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