Shouldn't 3D Marks be the best tool for comparing GTX 280 to the 8800 Ultra? 3D Mark has never been a good tool for comparing cards from two companies, but it is a good tool for comparing performance between cards of the same architecture.
I would have thought that Vantage would scale very well because it depends heavily on shading resources (which GTX 280 should have plenty of, with 240SP's that are supposedly more efficient than G80).
And I don't think any card will ever last two years like the 8800GTX... that was a once a lifetime thing IMO. nVidia is supposed to come out with a 55nm refresh this year, and then next year I am sure AMD/nVidia will be doing wonders with TSMC's 40nm process.
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