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Thread: AMD: 32nm yields ramping worse than expected, Llano delayed, BD didn't sample in H1

  1. #51
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hans de Vries View Post
    Q4, 2005: Intel introduces affordable 65nm quad core processors.
    Q4, 2007: Intel introduces affordable 45nm quad core processors.
    Q4, 2009: oops...
    Q1, 2011: Intel introduces affordable 32nm quad core processors.

    Good to hear all this "much better than expected" "faster ramp", "flawless
    execution" talk.....

    Regards, Hans
    Looks to me like you're highlighting the fact that Intel took full advantage of their process lead to cash-in (akin to AMD and DX11). What has affordability got to do with process execution? Last I checked, 32nm hexacores were available for sale in 2009. More cores on a die, bigger cache, etc. thanks to process shrink. Nothing to sniff at considering the latest news.

  2. #52
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    Well not really.

    First where the 32nm dualcores, released 7 January 2010.
    Hexacores came in March.

  3. #53
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    Quote Originally Posted by JF-AMD View Post
    Bulldozer taped out in 1H


    Thanks for the info, and LOL at some of the comments on this thread.

  4. #54
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hornet331 View Post
    Well not really.

    First where the 32nm dualcores, released 7 January 2010.
    Hexacores came in March.
    I stand corrected, but two things we need to bear in mind is Intel's dilemma of pitching their extreme chips against each other; i7 975 vs i7 980x (which is still the biggest value offering in the ultra high end segment to date, imo). Then you have partners/oems preferring q1 launches to q4 launches. I can still hear the whine from some enthusiasts on this site when it appeared Intel was holding on to 32nm release even though it was clear they had a product ready to ship. In fact, some people had access to retail versions long before the release. Again, all these things are market dynamics coming into play, rather than process execution. I bet Intel under pressure would rush products to market a little faster than have done lately, whether OEMs complain or not.

  5. #55
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hans de Vries View Post
    Q4, 2005: Intel introduces affordable 65nm quad core processors.
    Q4, 2007: Intel introduces affordable 45nm quad core processors.
    Q4, 2009: oops...
    Q1, 2011: Intel introduces affordable 32nm quad core processors.

    Good to hear all this "much better than expected" "faster ramp", "flawless
    execution" talk.....

    Regards, Hans
    Don't be so naive. The bottom line is money and from that standpoint Intel has had flawless execution with their process releases.

  6. #56

    ...

    Quote Originally Posted by qurious63ss View Post
    Don't be so naive. The bottom line is money and from that standpoint Intel has had flawless execution with their process releases.
    Hans and naive?

    Take of your blue glasses and read up a bit before you post again.

  7. #57
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    Quote Originally Posted by savantu View Post
    No its not. Validation is the most unpredictable part. Horrible bugs can ruin your day and they might show up at any time during the validation process.
    again you miss my point. if AMD has already taped it out and they say it is on track it is because they already know the majority of the bugs that need to be fixed and how long it should take. these horrible bugs you talk about are rare. they tend to show up in niche uses, like a certain instruction sequence, which they test for using automated test vectors.

    furthermore today's verification is vigorous compared to just a few years ago. fpga simulations provide real time turnarounds to keep productivity maximized. with the cost of masks going up exponentially respins wont be common anymore. that's a major focus of vlsi design today. debugging is done before tape out.

  8. #58
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hans de Vries View Post
    Q4, 2005: Intel introduces affordable 65nm quad core processors.
    Q4, 2007: Intel introduces affordable 45nm quad core processors.
    Q4, 2009: oops...
    Q1, 2011: Intel introduces affordable 32nm quad core processors.

    Good to hear all this "much better than expected" "faster ramp", "flawless
    execution" talk.....

    Regards, Hans
    32nm quad core may come out late this year

    http://www.xtremesystems.org/Forums/...d.php?t=255511

  9. #59
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    Quote Originally Posted by dartaz View Post
    32nm quad core may come out late this year

    http://www.xtremesystems.org/Forums/...d.php?t=255511
    There are 32nm quad-cores already, of the xeon category.

  10. #60
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    so intel says they do a new node every 2 years on the dot, but still slows down and had to remove a decent portion of their staff like the rest of the world due to the market conditions.

    no need to act like intels delays were due to a blessing, they are not perfect, and are impacted like any other business. the only difference is 1 billion dollars for them is not the same as 1 billion dollars to another company. GF might have to slow down more than intel because such cashflow is not available.

    btw im curious, how hard was the release of i7? a big core with a new design, should be comparable to struggles we may see with BD

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    Quote Originally Posted by OhNoes! View Post
    There are 32nm quad-cores already, of the xeon category.
    But those are not based on Sandy-bridge architecture

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    Quote Originally Posted by Chumbucket843 View Post
    again you miss my point. if AMD has already taped it out and they say it is on track it is because they already know the majority of the bugs that need to be fixed and how long it should take.
    No, no, no.

  13. #63
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shadov View Post
    Hans and naive?

    Take of your blue glasses and read up a bit before you post again.
    Yes they are blue indeed, but I get paid very well to wear them. Tick tock is working very well for us and 32nm was released at the beginning of the year and has ramped better then any other process. Yes ramped, decision was made to ramp 32nm with our server parts first which by the way we are selling like hot cakes. To understand why this was done just take a look at our margins. 32nm ramped on server first, 45nm which has already been paid for and tweaked so yields and wip turns are at a record levels so our cost per wafer is great even for our lowest end consumer parts like Atom. To use the metric of "affordable" to gauge how we are doing in our process releases is indeed naive. There are several metrics that have to be met to keep our margins met and more importantly to keep us employed.

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    Quote Originally Posted by EvilOne View Post


    Thanks for the info, and LOL at some of the comments on this thread.
    AMD released more specific info last night: Bulldozer taped out in Q2, and will sample during this H2.

    Now we want to know... is first silicon BACK from the Fab yet? Does it work? Enough to boot Windows, Linux, etc, yet? All 4 modules working reliably? Power ok? Running at a reasonable ~2Ghz speed for this point in the process?

    If these things go well, I expect AMD to talk about them somehow, via demos or interviews. If they go poorly, I expect silence, along with the excuse that "we can't mention details for competitive reasons."

    (You may recall that this excuse was given earlier this year, when the question of BD having taped out or not was asked. Oh, no, AMD would never give that information out, because it would give too much away to Intel, came the reply. And then what happens? The very quarter it DOES tape out, AMD talks about it, and names the 3-month tape-out window on their earnings call. I guess Dirk wanted to help out Intel? )
    Last edited by terrace215; 07-16-2010 at 07:17 AM.

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    I better be able to get a BD core next year or I'll switch to Intel forever. That's all I'm saying.
    As quoted by LowRun......"So, we are one week past AMD's worst case scenario for BD's availability but they don't feel like communicating about the delay, I suppose AMD must be removed from the reliable sources list for AMD's products launch dates"

  16. #66
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    this thread is the lulz
    WILL CUDDLE FOR FOOD

    Quote Originally Posted by JF-AMD View Post
    Dual proc client systems are like sex in high school. Everyone talks about it but nobody is really doing it.

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    Does anyone not expect the OP to try to spin things at this point?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Chumbucket843 View Post
    again you miss my point. if AMD has already taped it out and they say it is on track it is because they already know the majority of the bugs that need to be fixed and how long it should take. these horrible bugs you talk about are rare. they tend to show up in niche uses, like a certain instruction sequence, which they test for using automated test vectors.
    ?? This is absurd.

    Nehalem has more states than atoms in the universe ( that's a quote from the chief designer ); I doubt Bulldozer is any less complex ( ok, maybe it is since it lacks full SMT ), either way, your claims come against anything the validation teams are saying.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/17/te...5547.html?_r=1

    Validation is harder and harder with each new generation, the complexity increase is astounding.
    Quote Originally Posted by Heinz Guderian View Post
    There are no desperate situations, there are only desperate people.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MrMojoZ View Post
    Does anyone not expect the OP to try to spin things at this point?
    Not really. Threads like these always go one way. Some AMD or Intel hater posts a semi-legitimate thread with some passive aggressive trolling. Then AMD bashers and Intel scorners duke it out for pages. The real casualty in cases like these is logical debate. There is no way to "win" the argument using logic or reason since everything is open to attack based on gut feelings, hunches, and desires.
    Particle's First Rule of Online Technical Discussion:
    As a thread about any computer related subject has its length approach infinity, the likelihood and inevitability of a poorly constructed AMD vs. Intel fight also exponentially increases.

    Rule 1A:
    Likewise, the frequency of a car pseudoanalogy to explain a technical concept increases with thread length. This will make many people chuckle, as computer people are rarely knowledgeable about vehicular mechanics.

    Rule 2:
    When confronted with a post that is contrary to what a poster likes, believes, or most often wants to be correct, the poster will pick out only minor details that are largely irrelevant in an attempt to shut out the conflicting idea. The core of the post will be left alone since it isn't easy to contradict what the person is actually saying.

    Rule 2A:
    When a poster cannot properly refute a post they do not like (as described above), the poster will most likely invent fictitious counter-points and/or begin to attack the other's credibility in feeble ways that are dramatic but irrelevant. Do not underestimate this tactic, as in the online world this will sway many observers. Do not forget: Correctness is decided only by what is said last, the most loudly, or with greatest repetition.

    Rule 3:
    When it comes to computer news, 70% of Internet rumors are outright fabricated, 20% are inaccurate enough to simply be discarded, and about 10% are based in reality. Grains of salt--become familiar with them.

    Remember: When debating online, everyone else is ALWAYS wrong if they do not agree with you!

    Random Tip o' the Whatever
    You just can't win. If your product offers feature A instead of B, people will moan how A is stupid and it didn't offer B. If your product offers B instead of A, they'll likewise complain and rant about how anyone's retarded cousin could figure out A is what the market wants.

  20. #70
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    Quote Originally Posted by Particle View Post
    There is no way to "win" the argument using logic or reason since everything is open to attack based on gut feelings, hunches, and desires.
    my rule of thumb:
    a debate is between 2 winners
    an argument is between 2 losers

  21. #71
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrMojoZ View Post
    Does anyone not expect the OP to try to spin things at this point?
    Hey, but they are fun to watch in a macabre kind of way...

    Sort of like a train wreck, in slow motion.

  22. #72
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    Quote Originally Posted by terrace215 View Post
    No, no, no.
    I love how certain you are about BD being late and crap. You have been predicting BD being Q3/Q4'11 or even 2012 for years now. It looks like you are taking every new negative rumor and bit of bad news and trying to fit them into the late/crap narrative. If that's the narrative you want to build then fine, but don't try to come back later and claim you were just being objective.

    I freely admit the possibility of BD being extremely late. I'll also admit that it could be a dud architecture. But I don't see enough hard evidence to suggest that they are the only possibilities. You seem to have totally rejected the possibility that BD will deliver competitive performance and/or in a reasonable timeframe. If BD taped out in Q2 and things go relatively smoothly then 12 months isn't unrealistic.

    Quote Originally Posted by OhNoes! View Post
    Looks to me like you're highlighting the fact that Intel took full advantage of their process lead to cash-in (akin to AMD and DX11).
    Yes, Intel and AMD cashed in on the lack of competition. Despite some people's attempt to obfuscate that fact, "cashing in" is exactly what we can expect from Intel (or any company) if AMD (their competition) fails to deliver a competitive product. It's basic economics.
    Last edited by Solus Corvus; 07-16-2010 at 10:16 AM.

  23. #73
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    Quote Originally Posted by JF-AMD View Post
    Bulldozer is still on track. Your statements on customer sampling and launch are based on your conjecture, not anything that Dirk said.
    Quote Originally Posted by AMD.com - News
    The SSE5 specification, which is being made available to the developer community today at http://developer.amd.com/SSE5, will be implemented in products based on AMD’s next-generation “Bulldozer” core, available in 2009.
    Source : AMD.com
    A year late already and you call that still on track ? You really know how to take it easy.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Kuroimaho View Post
    A year late already and you call that still on track ? You really know how to take it easy.
    That info hasn't been current for awhile, sorry. This isn't 2007.

  25. #75
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kuroimaho View Post
    A year late already and you call that still on track ? You really know how to take it easy.
    You are late to the news party,3 years late to be precise.

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