Don't dismiss PII just yet, even though it may not perform as well as Kentsfield and Yorkfield clock for clock, it' priced well and a good drop in upgrade for Phenom users.
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You don't know if it's gonna be the fastest one until 2011, so commenting on that is just stupid. AMD does not even have to beat Intel to be competitive. To gain the performance crown, sure, and it's quite self-explaining. Also I don't believe AMD needs the halo effect as much as Intel. AMD is expected to be slightly worse because Intel is much bigger and older in the game. Add to that the dominance Intel have had with C2 until now it's easy to see AMD does not need to be on top of the hill to stay on the market. Surely they could use a bit more market share or average selling price but AMD isn't bleeding all that much (just compare with GM, Ford or maybe Swedish SAAB which has been having a negative cash flow the last decade or so)...
You seem to completely forget about 32nm shrink of Deneb in H2 2010 with 50% more cores(6cores),more cache and higher clocks.Will this type of product meet your expectations?And then in 2011 you will have Orochi based on totally new Bulldozer design with 6(+) cores. Heck,you will see 6 core Istanbul on 45nm this year,maybe even on desktop in Q4(it will be sub 300mm2 device,just like Barcelona)...
Actually, I read and like Anand's review.
The truth is that Green and Blue boys and girls don't really matter. The colors that do matter are the colors of IBM, HP, Dell and all the other companies selling this stuff. The only people worried how positive or negatively about the reviews are Fans. As I said, to most folks it just more senseless Geeks Nit-Picking. It's like Nerds arguing over Comic book Characters, who cares.
Those who forget history are doomed to fail and mistake in the future. Maybe you think forgetting is cool, some folks use it as a reference. See folks complaining about $300 processors? Depressed? Not at all:up: I just wasn't a sucker enough to pay that much.:rofl: AMD Fans who thought AMD loved them enough NOT to squeeze them are the ones who should be depressed. No, maybe they liked paying more:up:
And you must be totally naive to believe "that thing" they presented will be their roadmap for next 2 years :rolleyes: .Due to competitive reasons AMD posted the vaguest roadmap ever.You don't have to be Einstein to figure out the Deneb will be shrank to 32nm before Bulldozer ever tapes out since AMD won't do shrink and new design at the same time and you know it.Since Bulldozer will come out in 2011,it's logical to expect 2010 and H2 of that year as 6core 32nm improved Shanghai design to be released.
As for Istanbul,we already know it's Shanghai + 2 cores on 45nm and is planned to be released somewhere in Q3 or Q4.
Wake up from your dream called "only Deneb next 2 years" and use logic this time.
I thought you might have learnt something from the launch of the Phenom/K10.
You were espousing wonderful logic back then of along the lines of the K10 is going to have significantly better IPC than C2 because AMD needs to have it.
Sometimes you just can't recover from design problems in a quick and easy fashion in the CPU business.
I think it is logical to expect a best case scenario of AMD maintaining a 12month gap to Intel on process technology, so I would say that late Q4 10 is the best one could reasonably expect and obviously a QTR or two after that would hardly come as a great shock.Quote:
Since Bulldozer will come out in 2011,it's logical to expect 2010 and H2 of that year
Yeah, and that was how long ago? SAAB has been losing money since 1995, that's more than 13 years ago and they are still here (even though it might be their last as a car manufacturer). AMD has been losing money since 2006 according to you. That's not even close (and the amounts of money aren't close either). Both you and Shintai are pretty much expecting the doom for AMD but I'm quite sure the investors are a bit more long termed than 2-4 years.
And as said, AMD is now competitive with Intel in the markets that matter; server and mainstream. This is NOW, we don't know what the future brings but we can make guesses. My guess is that PII 940/945 isn't the fastest AMD has in pipeline until 2011 but I'm also guessing it won't be beating the offers that Intel has. It might still be competitive though (in mainstream/server market).
Donnie27 presents one of the best points.
Average Joe (or Svensson as we call it in Sweden) don't look at benchmarks. They buy what is believed to be sufficient for their needs and cost as little as possible. If Joe decides to ask his better informed friend which is best, the friend should be able to give advice on what to buy. This friend should not only be looking at performance but performance per buck and what Joe needs. If Joe only needs an Atom-powered netbook then that's what he should buy. Not an i7 965 with 2 GTX295s and 3TB with SSDs. Even if he's a rich guy. Maybe he needs a quad to play games, he wants something good and is willing to pay a bit but not too much. Maybe the PII with a dual videocard setup is the best buy for him. He could for the same amount of money chose an Intel system with the same performance but there's no real reason to choose sides at all.
If AMD manages to be competitive in this segment, it will most likely survive and maybe even make a small profit. Because this is were the money lies. AMD hasn't been pricing their chips too far off their performance and is clearly not doing it with the PII so I'm not too worried.
Yeah just hold those palms on your ears and sing "nanananana". :p:
FYI ,they already have the tools for 32nm process node.FYI, 6 core Deneb is just 4 core deneb with 2 more cores(duh),not a new design.FYI 45nm was delayed one quarter (Q4 for Shanghai instead of Q3).FYI,6 core deneb on 32nm will be just a shrink with more cache(again not a hard thing to do,AMD done it countless times).
You can live in your intel only world and think AMD will have 4 core deneb next 2 years,or you can use facts and logic and burst the repetitive dream you have.
Don't they have a Sugar Daddy in GM?
I am not sure that is a line of argumentation you should be pursuing. :lol2:Quote:
Both you and Shintai are pretty much expecting the doom for AMD but I'm quite sure the investors are a bit more long termed than 2-4 years.
AMD/Intel/Dow comparison for 1 yr and 2 year time frame.
Some people are implying that since both Intel and AMD have dropped, both are equally bad investments. So let us compare how both have performed for 1-2 yrs versus the Dow
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=A...urce=undefined
The results are:
........1yr...... 2yr
Dow -30% ..-22%
Intel -40% ..-22%
AMD -67% ..-85%
Intel has performed almost as well as the Dow, while AMD has completely fallen out of bed.
They are going to take an absolute hammering in the server market over the next 12 to 18 months.Quote:
And as said, AMD is now competitive with Intel in the markets that matter; server and mainstream.
Well, Saab is probably down for the count in GM's eyes. And rightfully so (even though it's probably more likely that Saab would have done better with a different partner all along).
Yeah, AMD stock has plummeted. Big deal. Ericsson did that too but got back on its feet (another Swedish example). Long term investors are folks like the Abu Dhabi-people with billions in their pockets. Don't think they look for return on their investment in 6 months, do you? Clearly there are people who believes in AMD, otherwise it would have gone belly up long time ago...
AMD is currently not taking a beating. Intel's new server CPUs aren't out yet. We don't know how they are going to perform (but we have had some hints). AMD can still use prices to stay somewhat competitive. And no one here knows exactly what either company is doing so I hate to bring it to you but all you're saying is purely speculation. Nothing more, nothing less.
This tread is about Ph II. Not preditions in roadmaps.
Sometimes belief isn't enough and AMD have done a remarkable job in many respects over the years, but what a time to have the double whammy of serious design missteps and a massive debt burden due to the purchase of ATI.
Man, I don't think one needs to be Nostradamus to see how it is almost certainly going to play out(unless Intel have their own TLB bug at the Barcelona level in Nehalem) - just look at what Conroe did on the desktop in late 2006, all of 2007. But it does take a bit of effort I would imagine to say with a straight face, that there is a great deal of uncertainty at play here.Quote:
AMD is currently not taking a beating. Intel's new server CPUs aren't out yet. We don't know how they are going to perform (but we have had some hints). AMD can still use prices to stay somewhat competitive. And no one here knows exactly what either company is doing so I hate to bring it to you but all you're saying is purely speculation. Nothing more, nothing less.
It seems to me PII fits into its price point about right regardless of IPC differences, its not like the pII 940 is trying to be pawned off at $1000 or something.
Thanks. You can say 9 positive things about AMD and 1 Negative then still be called Intel Biased. I don't see AMD going out of business. I see them sticking around after getting the UAE folks to buy into them. It will be a long time before Oil Money runs out.
I posted about 2 months ago that AMD doesn't have to "Beat" Intel or regain Speed Crown for bragging rights. That's what Fans want. Performance made Opterons favorites, not Fanboys here singing their praises.
I have a GM/SAAB (vauxhall vectra with a saab 2.0turbo) 228.8BHP AND 252LBFT, Sorry for the ot but saab make the best petrol turbo cars in the world and I am sure this is why gm keep them around.
It seems a bit challenging to get my point across to some of you.
I did not want to see anything Donnie, I was talking about reviews and saying that kyle's one sucks.
You then proceeded to be defensive regarding kyle's review.
Now Donnie, reading kyle's review, I do not see how you can not have a problem with that way of reviewing a product, without being extremely biased.
As for my opinion, kyle's results can not be trusted because he did not use the same amount of ram for platforms, and the speed of ram that the processors can handle.
Am I saying I have proof his numbers are off? Nope.
Am I saying Phenom II is better than what the general consensus is? Nope.
I am not even disappointed. I just shared my opinion about a review, which is what this thread is about.
On a sidenote, kyle's numbers ARE off, which can quickly be concluded by comparing his numbers to the several others reviews that are on the internet.
And zucker, I don't know what to say man, do you really think that when I say reviews should be more objective, I mean that all systems must be supplied by AMD?
If so, whatever dude, think whatever makes you happy.
They also make a nice little Fighter:up:
http://www.avrosys.nu/aircraft/jakt/124JAS39-4.htm
Most folks will see F-20 Tigershark.
As I said, we have had some hints. But the current Opteron setup is not totally lost, and price will determine the faith of AMD's server CPUs. AMD will probably stay competitive but margins will decrease.
Donnie27:
Well some seem to give out that label pretty fast. And yeah, those oil dollars will be pouring in for quite some time. Could probably invest so much that Intel would be in serious trouble but highly unlikely, can't see that investment paying off. Better to invest as much to give AMD a chance to be competitive for performance crown (or to be generating positive cash flow) and then let it "manage" itself. There is clearly enough room for more than one CPU manufacturer and AMD is the only option to Intel that's got a chance currently.
Edit: Yeah, the JAS 39 Gripen is quite neat. Was a shame that or neighbour Norway chose the F22 Raptor instead. Would have made a lot of people in Sweden happy... Now here's a sector with A LOT of foul play... Hehe.
Is this off topic thread still alive and wasting bandwidth?