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Our sources tell us that the GT300 is beginning it's 7 or 8 week long process through the very expensive machinery at TSMC. We said the target was a mid-July tapeout, and if you are very charitable with 'mid-', Nvidia hit it. A hair under a week ago, the chip had not taped out.
...if everything goes perfectly, not so much as a hiccup, we are looking at mid-December for the first syphilitic trickle of parts.
The chances of this happening are somewhere around zero though. Nvidia can't make GT215s in volume, and that chip is about 1/4 the size of GT300. Toss in that this is going to be their first GDDR5 part, their first DX11 part, and their first part on a new and untested architecture, and you are likely to have at least two spins.
Each spin is the same 8 weeks as the last hot lot. Adding one puts production silicon out of the door, with the previously alluded to trickle, in late February. A second spin puts it into Q2. If there is anything more, well mid-year is very likely. Smart money is on at least two spins.
so nvidia should have early ES cards in 4-8 weeks from now, which means september-october. if those work alright (very unlikely) we might see some performance previews which would be very interesting! :D
