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LedHed
01-04-2010, 01:41 PM
Hardware 3D Display Revenue to Hit $22B by 2018

Largest market will be mobile phone displays

CES is here and one of the most interesting technologies to be seen at the show this year will be 3D-ready TVs and other gear. The home theater market is set to boom with a glut of new 3D devices coming soon that will usher 3D movies and broadcast programming into homes.

DisplaySearch has released its latest statistics that forecasts the revenue from 3D-ready displays to reach a staggering $22 billion by 2018. 3D-ready TV shipments are predicted to hit 64 million units in the same time frame. In 2008, the market for 3D stereoscopic displays was 700,000 units and the revenue for the market was only $902 million. The predicted growth shows a compound annual growth rate of 38% for revenue and 75% for units shipped.

DisplaySearch breaks the numbers down by product group as well. The research firm predicts that 3D-ready monitors will grow from 40,000 units shipped in 2009 to 10 million units shipped in 2018. 3D notebooks will also grow significantly from 66,000 units in 2009 to 17.7 million in 2018. It's hard to imagine 3D on mobile phones today, but DisplaySearch predicts that 71 million mobile phones with 3D capability will ship by 2018. If the prediction comes true, mobile phones will be the largest category in the 3D market.

The huge number of 3D mobile phone shipments will make the 1 to 4+ inch screen size the largest market with the second largest screen size group ranging from 40-49" for TVs. LCD technology will be the predominant technology used in 3D screens and eyewear is predicted to be needed in most applications. Over 7,000 new 3D cinema screens are expected to be installed in 2010 and an additional 9,000 screens will be installed in 2011. DisplaySearch predicted late in December that the LCD TV market would return to growth in 2010 mainly on the back of new technologies like 3D.

"3D displays are taking off with consumers due to increasing availability of 3D content. In addition, 3D standardization has also been addressed or is being evaluated in several 3D organizations," noted Jennifer Colegrove, Director of Display Technologies at DisplaySearch. "A number of manufacturers of consumer electronics devices, including TVs, monitors, notebooks, Blu-ray disc players, and digital cameras/camcorders/photo frames have aggressively promoted 3D in the home. In addition to consumer use of 3D displays, the technology has also been used for many professional applications and advertisement/public displays."

One key ingredient needed for 3D TVs to penetrate the market is 3D programming. 3D Blu-ray is one of the big technologies being displayed at CES later this week. The satellite that DirecTV recently launched will also have a dedicated channel that broadcasts in 3D. In addition to a single 3D channel, the satellite will also enable over 200 national HD channels to be broadcast to the entire country including Alaska and Hawaii. Some of the new HD channels will broadcast in full 1080p resolution as well. DirecTV has no plans for additional satellites at this time.



http://www.dailytech.com/3D+Display+Revenue+to+Hit+22B+by+2018/article17278.htm

Mobile Phone 3D Displays? Sounds a little hopeful to say the least.


BTW, Avatar sucked (no plot all special effects), Coraline is a better 3D Experience.

XS Janus
01-04-2010, 01:57 PM
Yes, I really need to peoples callerID on my phone in 3D, you know... don't know how I'll live till then!
hahaha:D

Manicdan
01-04-2010, 02:07 PM
numbers sound like crap. basically if everyone who bough those 64 million tvs/monitors all lived in the US, then only half the population will have one. in reality it will probably be 1 in 10 will have one. and thats after its been out for 10 years.

RPGWiZaRD
01-04-2010, 02:09 PM
Sounds good, I can't wait for some better quality 120Hz LCD monitors.

LedHed
01-04-2010, 02:09 PM
I don't think it will catch on unless they find a way to do it without wearing 3D glasses; like putting the 3D glasses effect in front of the screen instead of wearing it.

Serra
01-04-2010, 02:15 PM
That is an awfully optimistic set of numbers considering how many standards are still in Gen 1 or not fully standardized yet, not to mention that whole global economic downturn going on.

Still, it would be cool if 3D displays/tech was to really explode that much. Here's hoping :up:

gumballguy
01-04-2010, 08:50 PM
Hardware 3D Display Revenue to Hit $22B by 2018

The research firm predicts that 3D-ready monitors will grow from 40,000 units shipped in 2009 to 10 million units shipped in 2018.

Extrapolate much?

randomizer
01-04-2010, 08:55 PM
I don't think it will catch on unless they find a way to do it without wearing 3D glasses; like putting the 3D glasses effect in front of the screen instead of wearing it.

I don't see how you could do that without going for a totally different avenue to produce the effect. Most effects are done by physically blocking light to each eye alternately via shutters or by using circular polarisation on the lenses where each lens only allows correctly polarised light through. Neither of these methods would work on the screen itself as you can't specify what each eye sees without some form of filter.

nn_step
01-04-2010, 09:06 PM
I smell another bubble forming in the IT industry

LedHed
01-05-2010, 06:50 AM
I don't see how you could do that without going for a totally different avenue to produce the effect. Most effects are done by physically blocking light to each eye alternately via shutters or by using circular polarisation on the lenses where each lens only allows correctly polarised light through. Neither of these methods would work on the screen itself as you can't specify what each eye sees without some form of filter.

yea I know it's not that simple or they would already be doing it; but I still think it won't catch on until glasses aren't needed.

flopper
01-05-2010, 06:59 AM
its to early, the consumers cant buy something that is in such inmature state.
hey, we havent got HD in the TV yet.
Blue ray adaption is low.

and now 3D gonna go trough the roof?
Not likely.
and besides, what about those epeleptic kids out there?

LedHed
01-05-2010, 07:03 AM
well they are saying the same thing about all new technologies (like DX11); everyone is claiming these new technologies are going to catch on faster than alcohol after the prom.

Teemax
01-05-2010, 07:13 AM
3D without glasses? Maybe we should wait until 2020 to see some sample of holographic tech...

Until then, dream on :P

haylui
01-05-2010, 07:33 AM
Yes, I really need to peoples callerID on my phone in 3D, you know... don't know how I'll live till then!
hahaha:D

true
2018....sounds like very distance future

Loque
01-05-2010, 09:15 AM
3d is possible without glasses using the cross eye technique:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6RFuRY7azgA&feature=related

OutSider
01-05-2010, 09:22 AM
by that time i prefer to have 50"+ oled display in my living room(and i`m getting headache in cinema from 3d especially if its long movie)

Aerwidh
01-05-2010, 10:28 AM
I really don't see 3D taking off in the majority of the consumer market in quite some time

zalbard
01-05-2010, 11:48 AM
Watched Avatar in 3D and I can't wait to get a nice full HD display I can use at home. :D

AndrewZorn
01-05-2010, 11:51 AM
3d is possible without glasses using the cross eye technique:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6RFuRY7azgA&feature=related
yeah, im enjoying a feature-length film right now in 3D using this method...

zalbard
01-05-2010, 11:59 AM
I'd prefer glasses over cross eye, thanks. :p: